IceBreakChron I: ULTIMATE WAR

Started by JasonPratt, April 03, 2020, 03:35:57 PM

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JasonPratt

#30
September 1923: after the Bulgarian Tsar Boris miraculously survives an assassination attempt, armed uprisings begin.

September 27, 1923: the Soviet Politburo orders ten Bulgarian Communists (officers and pilots) to the navy base in Sevastopol. If a nearby Bulgarian city close to the shore came into rebel hands, the pilots would establish a connection by airplane between the south of Russia and Bulgaria; then, "upon the establishment of the connection, to send out arms that have been in Sevastopol since last year, prepared for the Bulgarian revolution... and... send Bulgarian Communists currently in Moscow and other Russian cities to Bulgaria with arms." (The Russian Political Encyclopedia, 2001, p.21, in an article on "Decisions of the 'Special Folder'".)

This is part of a plot by Trotsky (as reported in "Rodina", 1990, #10, p.13) to start and support a Balkan revolution, to obtain (as Trotsky thought) a direct route from the Balkan region to the ports of France and Britain. The uprising is led by Georgy Dimitrov, a future head of the Comintern.

It is only one of dozens of attempts in different nations around the world to spark a militant Marxian uprising. As with the others, it fails -- but the most important attempt, and failure, shall soon be considered...
ICEBREAKER THESIS CHRONOLOGY! -- Victor Suvorov's Stalin Grand Strategy theory, in lots and lots of chronological order...
Dawn of Armageddon -- narrative AAR for Dawn of War: Soulstorm: Ultimate Apocalypse
Survive Harder! -- Two season narrative AAR, an Amazon Blood Bowl career.
PanzOrc Corpz Generals -- Fantasy Wars narrative AAR, half a combined campaign.
Khazâd du-bekâr! -- narrative dwarf AAR for LotR BfME2 RotWK campaign.
RobO Q Campaign Generator -- archived classic CMBB/CMAK tool!

JasonPratt

#31
Autumn 1923: Stalin has started seizing control of most of the Party from behind the scenes, while Lenin is dying. He declares, "If a revolutionary shake-up of Europe starts anywhere, it will be in Germany... and victory for the Revolution in Germany will ensure its victory world-wide." By autumn, the reins of power will be almost completely in Stalin's hands, although neither Russia, nor the world, nor even his own rivals in the party, will know this -- yet.


Pre-Stalin Summary
------------------

During this period, Lenin and his heirs, including Stalin, start one of the three most important early 20th century post-Marxian succession movements, all dedicated to being more radically revolutionary than Marx.

Lenin's International Socialism, along with Mussolini's Italian Fascism, and then Hitler's National Socialism, sought to create Marx's predicted revolutionary war of the workers against the property owners, rather than waiting for a natural upsurge of the workers against what Marx called "late-stage capitalism". In all three movements, elite academics and charismatic leaders tried, with some important successes, to prod the workers into rising up to violently overthrow the property owners and to seize control of all means of production. In all three movements, a few men would end up consolidating their own ultimate effective authority over all means of production, while claiming to be fulfilling Marx's predicted socialist phase.

Unlike the other two, Germany's National Socialism would be built upon a claim of racial superiority (thence cultural superiority), over-against the rest of the world. This doesn't seem at first to make much sense as a foundation for "national socialism" -- until one accounts for the competition, between the "Nazis" and the Russian-led (therefore Slavic and secular Jewish-led) German Communist party, over who exactly will be using force to seize and control all property, resources, and means of production!

Lenin, and his faction, are from the beginning using Russia as a base to take control of all means of production in the world, through the creation of international socialism, the "Communist International" (the "Comintern"), which is working to create new "soviet" republics in other nations by revolutionary force and bring them into the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics.

And from the beginning, Lenin and his gang, including Stalin, have had the control of Germany squarely in their sights. They have attempted to invade toward Germany (the "home of world socialism") no less than twice already since the end of the Great War.

Moreover, even before the end of the Great War, Lenin made an alliance with Germany which not only kept Germany off Russia's face while Russia made internal preparations to create an ultimate revolutionary world-wide war (per Lenin's plan), but which also gave Germany massive resources looted from Russia by Lenin's party, to continue the Great War.

Why would Lenin make his most dangerous and closest enemy stronger?! He explained his purpose: to use that enemy to further weaken Soviet Russia's political enemies who are farther away from Lenin, as long as Lenin could arrange to focus his chief enemy in that direction. Which he easily could, under the circumstances of the ongoing Great War.

Once the Great War is done, literally within two days of its completion, Lenin tries to launch a military strike westward, not directly at Germany yet, but on the way; while also revoking his treaty with Germany, and even directing a public announcement that the conquest of Germany is the first major goal for this second world war: a goal from which Lenin expects to succeed in taking over the world.

This attempt quickly whiffles out due to Russia's ongoing internal weakness and civil war, so why did Lenin even try? Because, as an ideological Marxist, but one who no longer believed that the workers would spontaneously rise up in armed revolution and would need galvanizing instead, Lenin believed he had philosophical and (by his standards) scientific reasons to expect that even a small example would inspire the workers of the world to unite together under his leadership. And indeed, some socialist revolutions did happen at this time (guided by Lenin and financed by Russian gold looted by Lenin's political gang), to overthrow governments in smaller European regions and nations. Such success could only have looked like confirming evidence to Lenin and his group!

But for various reasons -- including because exhausted revolutionary governments in nations exhausted by war will be born exhausted! -- no revolutionary world war happened in 1918, nor in 1919, and Lenin had to withdraw to focus on consolidating his own power better.

And yet Lenin tries again soon afterward by a much stronger invasion against newly independent Poland (nominally protected by the League of Nations), which comes much closer to succeeding. The goal, in Russian propaganda, is to extend this military strike into control of Germany and even France and England: nations that Lenin has exhausted more than they would have otherwise been, thanks to Lenin empowering Germany to continue the Great War from 1917 onward.

These facts establish a baseline going forward:

Russia loudly proclaims its intentions for world domination under Lenin and his party;

regards military power as the key way to achieve this domination (although there are disputes among his political heirs over exactly how to enact military revolution);

acts no less than twice with military power toward this goal before 1923;

with seizing control of Germany as their first prime target in each attempt;

and warring against other nations in the way between Lenin's military power and Germany.

And yet Lenin also gives Germany strategic military strength! -- as long as Germany uses that strength to fight and weaken other nations in Europe (whether actually, as in 1918, or potentially, as with poison gas manufacturing in 1923) -- with the intention that, being weakened from world war, they will fall more easily to military revolution from within and military invasion from without. Once Germany falls to Soviet invasion, Lenin and his gang expect Europe to fall to Soviet invasion; and once Europe falls to Soviet invasion, they believe the world will capitulate or fall to Soviet invasion. Moreover, they believe all this to be scientifically inevitable! -- the only question is exactly how it shall be accomplished, and how long it shall take.

Does Stalin continue along with such plans from 1923 forward? And what if a militant post-Marxian socialist group in Germany would rather take control of Germany themselves instead of handing that control over to Russian overlords? -- how will they compete, for allegiance of their fellow Germans, against the Comintern?

Avtorkhanov, writing later in "The Enigma of Stalin's Death", p.132: "every Stalin move, his every act and crime, served a purpose, made sense, was strictly in line with his own code."


[Next up: THE NAZIS ARISE]
ICEBREAKER THESIS CHRONOLOGY! -- Victor Suvorov's Stalin Grand Strategy theory, in lots and lots of chronological order...
Dawn of Armageddon -- narrative AAR for Dawn of War: Soulstorm: Ultimate Apocalypse
Survive Harder! -- Two season narrative AAR, an Amazon Blood Bowl career.
PanzOrc Corpz Generals -- Fantasy Wars narrative AAR, half a combined campaign.
Khazâd du-bekâr! -- narrative dwarf AAR for LotR BfME2 RotWK campaign.
RobO Q Campaign Generator -- archived classic CMBB/CMAK tool!