South China Sea Heats Up

Started by ArizonaTank, June 06, 2022, 02:04:27 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Skoop

Lol....Jello Biafra is my Naval Action character.  Most people have no idea who that is......California Uber Alles.

ArizonaTank

#16
For the last week, China has held military drills in the waters surrounding Taiwan. This has put a soft blockade on the island since commercial transport generally avoids such areas; commercial flights and ships have apparently been constrained by the drills.

The drills had been scheduled to stop on Sunday.

Now, the drills have been extended. If China really wanted to put the screws to Taiwan and the US now, they could just continue this "stealth" blockade for an indefinite period of time. Anyway, not good.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/china-announces-fresh-military-drills-around-taiwan/ar-AA10pUPN?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=5edcbf5ca53c4f868f8f75fc87ac41af
Johannes "Honus" Wagner
"The Flying Dutchman"
Shortstop: Pittsburgh Pirates 1900-1917
Rated as the 2nd most valuable player of all time by Bill James.

ArizonaTank

Some "good" or at least "better" news. China seems to be trying to de-escalate tension a bit.

They are now saying that while Taiwan reunification is "inevitable" it can happen peacefully. Taiwan of course is having none of that.

Of course nothing says that the Chinese can't quickly change their minds again.

https://apnews.com/article/taiwan-canada-china-government-and-politics-f1b5f86cc8985c40e4c9c2f4f51cda05
Johannes "Honus" Wagner
"The Flying Dutchman"
Shortstop: Pittsburgh Pirates 1900-1917
Rated as the 2nd most valuable player of all time by Bill James.

GDS_Starfury

the chinese know that they'll have lots of free territory up north to take in about a years time.
Toonces - Don't ask me, I just close my eyes and take it.

Gus - I use sweatpants with flannel shorts to soak up my crotch sweat.

Banzai Cat - There is no "partial credit" in grammar. Like anal sex. It's either in, or it's not.

Mirth - We learned long ago that they key isn't to outrun Star, it's to outrun Gus.

Martok - I don't know if it's possible to have an "anti-boner"...but I now have one.

Gus - Celery is vile and has no reason to exist. Like underwear on Star.


jamus34

Quote from: GDS_Starfury on September 22, 2022, 09:41:31 AM
the chinese know that they'll have lots of free territory up north to take in about a years time.

Been saying that since Ukraine started beating the shit out of Russia. China is claiming to stand with their socialist friends but they are using the as a barometer for a number of options.

World's response if they make a move on Taiwan
Potential socioeconomic impact of said invasion
If Russia performed poorly, can they realistically make a move north.

Russia has land and resources that China desperately needs. I also seriously doubt anyone would come to Russia's aid.
Insert witty comment here.

Windigo

Quote from: GDS_Starfury on September 22, 2022, 09:41:31 AM
the chinese know that they'll have lots of free territory up north to take in about a years time.

I have always thought that if nukes were going to fly it'd be started between Russia/SU and China. Arrogance and xenophobia.
My doctor wrote me a prescription for daily sex.

My wife insists that it says dyslexia but what does she know.

MengJiao

#21
Quote from: jamus34 on September 22, 2022, 10:05:30 AM
Quote from: GDS_Starfury on September 22, 2022, 09:41:31 AM
the chinese know that they'll have lots of free territory up north to take in about a years time.

Been saying that since Ukraine started beating the shit out of Russia. China is claiming to stand with their socialist friends but they are using the as a barometer for a number of options.

World's response if they make a move on Taiwan
Potential socioeconomic impact of said invasion
If Russia performed poorly, can they realistically make a move north.

Russia has land and resources that China desperately needs. I also seriously doubt anyone would come to Russia's aid.

  I don't think China has to move explicitly against Russia -- maybe just support Khazakstan or some other (former) Russian "allies" in the (more or less former)
Russian Federation.  China can
move economically like some 19th century Imperialist (like Russia used to be) into Central Asia and is definitely already at work along those lines.
Taiwan is small potatoes compared to big chunks of Central Asia.

https://eurasianet.org/perspectives-china-cements-its-dominance-in-central-asia

GDS_Starfury

china will 100% use its African strategy with break away russian territories.
Toonces - Don't ask me, I just close my eyes and take it.

Gus - I use sweatpants with flannel shorts to soak up my crotch sweat.

Banzai Cat - There is no "partial credit" in grammar. Like anal sex. It's either in, or it's not.

Mirth - We learned long ago that they key isn't to outrun Star, it's to outrun Gus.

Martok - I don't know if it's possible to have an "anti-boner"...but I now have one.

Gus - Celery is vile and has no reason to exist. Like underwear on Star.


Gusington

In conflict between China and what is left of Russia, does North Korea just sit on its hands?


слава Україна!

We can't live under the threat of a c*nt because he's threatening nuclear Armageddon.

-JudgeDredd

GDS_Starfury

Toonces - Don't ask me, I just close my eyes and take it.

Gus - I use sweatpants with flannel shorts to soak up my crotch sweat.

Banzai Cat - There is no "partial credit" in grammar. Like anal sex. It's either in, or it's not.

Mirth - We learned long ago that they key isn't to outrun Star, it's to outrun Gus.

Martok - I don't know if it's possible to have an "anti-boner"...but I now have one.

Gus - Celery is vile and has no reason to exist. Like underwear on Star.


Sir Slash

And which way does Iran swing? Or do they just keep their heads down until it's over?
"Take a look at that". Sgt. Wilkerson-- CMBN. His last words after spotting a German tank on the other side of a hedgerow.

Gusington

^Iran has a bit of a problem with open revolt right now.


слава Україна!

We can't live under the threat of a c*nt because he's threatening nuclear Armageddon.

-JudgeDredd

Windigo

Quote from: GDS_Starfury on September 22, 2022, 10:58:10 AM
china will 100% use its African strategy with break away russian territories.

That strategy is very very effective for getting the foot in the door and short term, but China being China is quickly turning the nations against them. When I was down in South Africa, I heard stories from miners coming south to trade with us from bordering countries.

Their cheating ways are pissing everyone off. And it's turning governments against them. Big caveat is the nations that have given them land for agriculture have armed Chinese presence in them so the presence of this intimidationg factor may allow them to hold past a 10-20 year period.
My doctor wrote me a prescription for daily sex.

My wife insists that it says dyslexia but what does she know.

JasonPratt

Another problem is that some of the nations China was collecting land from (like the port controlling access to the Red Sea from Djibouti), have started to collapse (like Sri Lanka), leaving China holding the bag for irreplaceable defaults.

That most likely includes Russia, China's biggest nearby trading partner.

This is why China will be looking to focus on solving its own internal economic problems and nibbling off land in Asia for a while, rather than pressing on bullying Taiwan and playing tiger-games with the US and our allies (if they take the advice of a position paper presented to the Politburo last week).
ICEBREAKER THESIS CHRONOLOGY! -- Victor Suvorov's Stalin Grand Strategy theory, in lots and lots of chronological order...
Dawn of Armageddon -- narrative AAR for Dawn of War: Soulstorm: Ultimate Apocalypse
Survive Harder! -- Two season narrative AAR, an Amazon Blood Bowl career.
PanzOrc Corpz Generals -- Fantasy Wars narrative AAR, half a combined campaign.
Khazâd du-bekâr! -- narrative dwarf AAR for LotR BfME2 RotWK campaign.
RobO Q Campaign Generator -- archived classic CMBB/CMAK tool!

Sir Slash

The President of Brazil has tried to curtail their influence in his country. It remains to be seen how effective he will be.
"Take a look at that". Sgt. Wilkerson-- CMBN. His last words after spotting a German tank on the other side of a hedgerow.