Russia's War Against Ukraine

[GDS_Starfury]

pretty sure this is from that fuckup at the start a few weeks ago.
still heartbreaking. 

[GDS_Starfury]

ah, heres the other stupidity

https://twitter.com/i/status/1580291630913187840

[Gusington]

^wtf 

[Sir Slash]

That'll ring your bell good and proper. 

[GDS_Starfury]

https://twitter.com/i/status/1675112776836997120

[Crossroads]

-snip-

 

[JasonPratt]

Say, Prigo, how's your catering business going? ....ooh, your contract got canceled by Russia, huh? (Link on Twitter unfortunately, not available for me anymore.)

Gosh, Ms Koffler, is the fake-coup still "the obvious truth"? 

(On the other hand, I saw on Fox News about half an hour ago, that in the past 15 days a Belarus area reportedly set aside to house Wagner troops, has filled up with tents. So there's that.)

[SirAndrewD]

(On the other hand, I saw on Fox News about half an hour ago, that in the past 15 days a Belarus area reportedly set aside to house Wagner troops, has filled up with tents. So there's that.)

Without Prigozhin's Concord contracts and with Wagner being stripped of heavy weapons, any of the troops that follow him to Belarus won't be able to do much. 

Prighozhin is worth a bit south personally of $1bn outside of his now non-existent Russian government contracts.  That's not really much to reform a 20k man strong Merc company.  And that's assuming that he hasn't had a lot of his assets seized. 

It costs a lot to run a Merc Army, especially if you don't have a government deferring a large amount of the cost.

[Sir Slash]

Oh I bet we haven't heard the last from Prigo. He's too big a player in the Russian Futures Market to just go away. Too many people need a Rent-An-Army right now for him to stay in retirement. I believe we'll be looking at his ugly face for some time to come.

[GDS_Starfury]

things are afoot!

[GDS_Starfury]

cosmonaut training continues

https://twitter.com/i/status/1675420266870996993

[JasonPratt]

^ If you have a ham radio set, you can probably hear his ghostly pleas for help... 

The Orikhiv Axis infomap meanwhile is a reminder that one big reason for the lack of forward progress on the Uk push so far, is that the Orks are using their second and third defensive lines in the area as staging to send reinforcements forward instead of letting their defenses fall back onto better prepared positions (though I'm not sure how much better 'prepared' the third line is compared to either of the first two: it may really be only an operational reserve line). The Russians cannot afford to let Ukraine get to even the second, much less third line of defense, since that will snap the last major supply route to the Crimea.

I think this is good news for Ukraine, such as it is: they can catch and fight Russians outside most of the prepared positions. If the Uks can keep up the pressure, the worst that will happen is the Orks must pull reinforcements from elsewhere on the strategic line, leaving those areas vulnerable to rapid pushes and flanking collapses of the Russian center. Really makes that push toward the Azov Sea a meatgrinder for everyone, though.

[GDS_Starfury]

the russians simply dont have the people to man all the defensive works theyve built.

[JasonPratt]

True. And couldn't supply them if they did. (And the works aren't all that great to begin with.)

I've seen reports, including videos, where shattered remnants of Russian companies are refusing to go back to the Russian front line, even if the FSB executes them.

[Sir Slash]

Is it possible for Ukraine to win anything larger than small fights without control of the air? Will this war be the first since WWII that the side without Air Superiority won?