Israel

[MengJiao]

So what will be, the already planed and ordered, Israeli reaction?

I guesstimate a small flight will release a number of modified rather unexpected stealthy (for Iranian standards) cruise missiles, with penetrator capability (let's call it a Taurus 1.5) that will destroy a number of drones and/or ballistic missiles inside storage spaces.


Its not so much about to destroy a few dozen of drones but to demonstrate that they can hit any bunkered target deep inside Iran any time if they have to.
That is the message.
 

Do they have to hit Iranian territory?  This is kind of the problem more for Iran than Israel.  Israel could just sorta ask the Saudis how much they would mind if somebody (I'm not saying who) beat up on Hezbollah.  That way you kill 3 or four birds with one stone:
1) Iran's proxies start suggesting to Iran that maybe shooting at Israel isn't such a good idea.  Sure, it's good publicity, but somebody much closer to Israel might get hurt.
2) Iran gets to go on wondering and also explaining that blowing up its proxies is the same as blowing up Iran (which no one will believe)
3) Israel reduces the threat from Hezbollah
4) everyone (even the US and Iran and the Saudis) is happy
5) except Hezbollah

[nelmsm]

I'd hit targets in Iran to show the Iranian people and the world that Iran can launch at us and do next to none damage but we can hit back much harder.  The big risk of that is that Iran might decide to make a much bigger strike and lead to continual escalation.