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IRL (In Real Life) => Current Events => Topic started by: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 04:42:20 AM

Title: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 04:42:20 AM
Today, a "100-year storm" means a surge flood of about two meters, on average, in New York. Roughly every 500 years, the region experiences towering, three-meter-high surge floods. Both scenarios, Lin notes, would easily top Manhattan's seawalls, which stand 1.5 meters high.

But with added greenhouse gas emissions, the models found that a two-meter surge flood would instead occur once every three to 20 years; a three-meter flood would occur every 25 to 240 years.

"The highest [surge flood] was 3.2 meters, and this happened in 1821," Lin says. "That's the highest water level observed in New York City's history, which is like a present 500-year event."

http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2012/storm-of-the-decade-0213.html (http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2012/storm-of-the-decade-0213.html)

Star will be building walls around Florida. Where is that biotch, he vanished after we talked about making a bar & grill for Jim. Maybe he's making his own.

Did Gus get a generator?

40 and Migs will need a seawall too.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 08:18:02 AM
Only if it hits while I'm at work, my office overlooks the HMCS Dockyards.  If I'm at home, I'm a-okay... the house is high-up (relatively speaking).  Migsy's ok 'cause any water that chases him would fall-down a mine-shaft first.  Shellie's a different story.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Staggerwing on February 13, 2012, 08:23:18 AM
Mr Bigglesworth,
Were/are you a WG forumite as well? Some folks are using new names here so I'm losing track.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Shelldrake on February 13, 2012, 10:09:27 AM
Quote from: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 08:18:02 AM
Only if it hits while I'm at work, my office overlooks the HMCS Dockyards.  If I'm at home, I'm a-okay... the house is high-up (relatively speaking).  Migsy's ok 'cause any water that chases him would fall-down a mine-shaft first.  Shellie's a different story.

Not to worry as my office is on the 7th floor and house is on a hillside well above the Bedford Basin. Worst case my wife's 2 kayaks will come in useful!  :D
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 10:15:28 AM
Then we're all good!

Bring it on, Nature!  :P
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Gusington on February 13, 2012, 10:34:01 AM
My generator is indeed online. Also, my house is set out on a promontory about 600 feet above sea level. Good for floods and a good defensive position in case of a zombie apocalypse as well.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Shelldrake on February 13, 2012, 10:40:30 AM
Quote from: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 10:15:28 AM
Then we're all good!

Bring it on, Nature!  :P

On the other hand we are all screwed in the event of a mega tsunami.  :o

http://www.theweek.co.uk/environment/natural-disaster/1449/canary-islands-eruption-triggers-us-tsunami-fears (http://www.theweek.co.uk/environment/natural-disaster/1449/canary-islands-eruption-triggers-us-tsunami-fears)

...except for Gus who will be living on an island.  :)
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Gusington on February 13, 2012, 10:43:56 AM
Interesting. Maybe I'll get a potted palm and invite 40 down. Bring a gun or three.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 10:51:58 AM
Quote from: Gusington on February 13, 2012, 10:43:56 AM
Interesting. Maybe I'll get a potted palm and invite 40 down. Bring a gun or three.

Then I'd have to stop-off at Jarhead's.

And so long as the wave doesn't get much over 300 ft, I'm good at home.  At work, I'm fish food.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Gusington on February 13, 2012, 10:57:26 AM
^We have cookies though.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 10:59:24 AM
But your dog is a commie.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Gusington on February 13, 2012, 11:07:36 AM
Commie? He's just jumping through a commie hoop, working on a false sense of security for them.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 11:09:37 AM
Good to know.  Still, he should take a chomp out of one of them for good measure.  :)
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: LongBlade on February 13, 2012, 11:26:30 AM
Quote from: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 04:42:20 AM
Star will be building walls around Florida. Where is that biotch, he vanished after we talked about making a bar & grill for Jim. Maybe he's making his own.

I wish. Haven't seen hide nor hair of him in a while. He registered on the forums, then took off.

I suspect the only thing that could possibly draw him away from us is a woman.

I would further speculate that not just one would do it.

Therefore I conclude he has fallen in love with two women, and they are equally smitten with him. Only a constant draw of a theesome could pull him away from here with any certitude.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 11:32:34 AM
Or someone finally travelled to Florida to do him in.  ;)

Seriously, my bet is on women or work.  Maybe both???!!!  Maybe he finally got some work in the porn industry!!  8)
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: LongBlade on February 13, 2012, 11:33:44 AM
That is entirely possible.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 01:11:58 PM
Quote from: Staggerwing on February 13, 2012, 08:23:18 AM
Mr Bigglesworth,
Were/are you a WG forumite as well? Some folks are using new names here so I'm losing track.

Ex KevlarSocks
8)
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: LongBlade on February 13, 2012, 01:12:34 PM
Quote from: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 01:11:58 PM
Quote from: Staggerwing on February 13, 2012, 08:23:18 AM
Mr Bigglesworth,
Were/are you a WG forumite as well? Some folks are using new names here so I'm losing track.

Ex KevlarSocks
8)

Whoa. That's a mind-bender.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 01:14:41 PM
Why?
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: LongBlade on February 13, 2012, 01:19:16 PM
Quote from: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 01:14:41 PM
Why?

It was in jest :)
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 01:21:57 PM
Quote from: LongBlade on February 13, 2012, 01:12:34 PM
Quote from: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 01:11:58 PM
Quote from: Staggerwing on February 13, 2012, 08:23:18 AM
Mr Bigglesworth,
Were/are you a WG forumite as well? Some folks are using new names here so I'm losing track.

Ex KevlarSocks
8)

Whoa. That's a mind-bender.

The saucy gifs  were a give-away; in hindsight.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 01:22:15 PM
Can I have the title "Brother Librarian"
?
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: LongBlade on February 13, 2012, 02:29:31 PM
Quote from: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 01:22:15 PM
Can I have the title "Brother Librarian"
?

Sure, but there are flavor texts in your profile that go both above and below your avatar.

It is possible to turn them off so that they can't be changed, or only can be changed after a certain number of posts or something, but nobody seems to have abused it or annoyed anyone with it, so I haven't brought the subject up for discussion.

Most of us here now are regulards and it won't take long for us to build up a decent body of posts. Maybe at some point we'll want to change things so that only regulars have the privilege. I'm willing to discuss the issue if anyone here has an opinion.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 01:22:15 PM
Can I have the title "Brother Librarian"
?

An Ultramarine....
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: LongBlade on February 13, 2012, 02:37:53 PM
Quote from: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 02:34:16 PM
Quote from: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 01:22:15 PM
Can I have the title "Brother Librarian"
?

An Ultramarine....

By Russ' beard! They seem to be everywhere.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 02:51:25 PM
Well, there are a lot of them.  Dilution breeds heresy.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Epee1 on February 13, 2012, 03:07:19 PM
Quote from: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 02:51:25 PM
Well, there are a lot of them.  Dilution breeds heresy.

I like it, and yes it does.

Thanks for making me laugh.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 03:16:43 PM
You're welcome.  Hopefully there will be more laughs to come.
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Gusington on February 13, 2012, 03:21:49 PM
Of course. Hey here's another: TEEHEE
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: LongBlade on February 13, 2012, 03:35:02 PM
Quote from: Centurion40 on February 13, 2012, 02:51:25 PM
Dilution breeds heresy.

Heh :)
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Staggerwing on February 13, 2012, 03:54:40 PM
Quote from: Mr. Bigglesworth on February 13, 2012, 01:11:58 PM
Quote from: Staggerwing on February 13, 2012, 08:23:18 AM
Mr Bigglesworth,
Were/are you a WG forumite as well? Some folks are using new names here so I'm losing track.

Ex KevlarSocks
8)

K-Socks!
That explained it! I knew there was something eerily familiar about you... ;)
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Epee1 on February 13, 2012, 06:26:28 PM
Should be a rule, no new names, I want to keep a list of all the commies on the board. (kidding , just kidding)
Title: Re: ‘100-year floods’ may happen every three to 20 years
Post by: Windigo on February 14, 2012, 05:08:36 PM
Other reasons that 100 year floods may occur more often - without the sky falling.

1/.  We have longer periods of record which means more accurate probablistic - predictions. (this actually gives us better volume yield and streamflow discharge figures for a given event. So a more accurate calculation gives us a higher OMFG flood event number... remember this is based on historical events that are used to predict future flood magnitudes)
2/.  Changes in land-use that increase the runoff rates from rain events (so for a given size rainstorm we get less water soaking into the ground and more ending up in the stream; e.g., forests soak up more rain than crop fields which soak up more rain than a city parking lot)