Russia's War Against Ukraine

[Crossroads]

Consensus here in Finland (Leo 2R is a local variant, all 6 handed out to Ukraine) for instance by the guys behind the live UA map is that those three vehicles are losses indeed.

On a positive note, it still seems Russian are milking the two notable incidents to the maximum, so let us hope elsewhere it is going more smoothly.

Early days indeed.

https://twitter.com/emilkastehelmi/status/1668280249203712001 

[GDS_Starfury]

I dunno... editing video isnt that hard.
either way they were most likely recovered and fixed.

[GDS_Starfury]

good update thread with good maps.

https://twitter.com/jrt_191/status/1668416807479156736

[GDS_Starfury]

https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/armor-expert-breaks-down-ukraines-loss-of-bradleys-during-breaching-operation

[GDS_Starfury]

so how do you think the next few weeks or months should play out?
as the AFUK advance should they bypass major towns and cities like Melitople?
head south or north or both.  pressure the Crimea or go for the propaganda of retaking Mariupol?

[JasonPratt]

Well, my guess is that Wagner refuses to sign up on contract to fight again, and offers to take up all other volunteers who don't want to sign up under Russia on contract again, while the Southern Front general gets artied off the planet and another general parks his division in the open on parade-ground muster for two hours within arty range which leads to the highest 1-minute Russian casualties since WW2.

I know, that all sounds insane, but I believe history will bear this out! 


(Might as well have some fun with the forum glitch reset.)

[JasonPratt]

Meanwhile, more up to date, Zeihan today on why there can be no peaceful offramp for Russia, not now, not later, never could have been, including if Putin "accidentally duck tapes himself to a lawn chair before he goes swimming" 

[JasonPratt]

Denys Davydov catches up today:

[GDS_Starfury]

https://twitter.com/i/status/1669660787856556033

[Sir Slash]

I had moles in my front yard that bad once. Diverting a local river to flood them will usually work. 

[GDS_Starfury]

some interesting bits here:

https://twitter.com/i/status/1669745879757238273

[GDS_Starfury]

important world shaking shit going here!

https://twitter.com/i/status/1669843958338314240

[GDS_Starfury]

this is a good one.

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1669811749602701315.html

[Gusington]

With Prigozhin it sounds like Goodfellas' 'real greaseball sh*t' - Russian style.

[GDS_Starfury]

https://twitter.com/i/status/1670446450071805952