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Ebola in the US

Started by Labbug, September 30, 2014, 05:03:34 PM

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Staggerwing

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Mr. Bigglesworth

Quote from: mirth on October 15, 2014, 11:20:53 AM
Nurse has been IDed. She just flew from Ohio to Texas on Monday. CDC is asking everyone on the flight to call in

http://news.yahoo.com/ebola-diagnosed-in-second-dallas-nurse-105542930.html

I would think getting on a plane after treating an ebola patient, knowing you got a fever, is potential mass murder. Actually, just being in the airport puts you in contact with enough people that it is a problem.
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LongBlade

#92
Quote from: Mr. Bigglesworth on October 15, 2014, 09:50:57 PM
Quote from: mirth on October 15, 2014, 11:20:53 AM
Nurse has been IDed. She just flew from Ohio to Texas on Monday. CDC is asking everyone on the flight to call in

http://news.yahoo.com/ebola-diagnosed-in-second-dallas-nurse-105542930.html

I would think getting on a plane after treating an ebola patient, knowing you got a fever, is potential mass murder. Actually, just being in the airport puts you in contact with enough people that it is a problem.

Strike that first line. I just saw a report from earlier to night that she did have a low-grade fever on the plane.

According to the news reports I have seen she was symptom free on the plane.

After she landed she had several hours where she was symptom free.

Within 90 minutes of showing signs (mild fever) she was hospitalized and quarantined.

The CDC has since issued guidelines advising caregivers potentially exposed to the virus to not fly.
All that is gold does not glitter,
Not all those who wander are lost;
The old that is strong does not wither,
Deep roots are not reached by the frost.

endfire79

Just arrived in DC yesterday for sightseeing.  Watching this stuff on the news while in DC with my wife this morning.  Glad Im not flying anywhere at the moment.  Driving back to NYC tomorrow and back to Montreal the weekend.
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MikeGER

#94
Quote from: Gusington on October 15, 2014, 06:23:49 PM
....by January there could be 1m plus cases of Ebola in W. Africa.
It is so serious that The Wife has given me the ok to purchase a firearm...seriously.

...that is just making use of the exponential function.

the math is very simple, the number of cases (in Libera, Sierra Leone and Guinea) are doubling every 3 to 4 weeks
12 Oct     9000 cases  4500 victims

Mike's prediction on cases (people who actual have and summed up those who have had Ebola)
12 Nov    18000
12 Dec    36000
12 Jan     72000
...

the intersting fact: its mostly contained to those three countries above and didn't spread into the neighbouring countries, so if we are not so stupid to fly Ebola patients all around the world in every country ..it will stay there and fizzle after some time.


Gus, get the guns(s) before your OKW retake the order ;)

LongBlade

Quote from: MikeGER on October 16, 2014, 03:27:18 AM

the intersting fact: its mostly contained to those three countries above and didn't spread into the neighbouring countries, so if we are not so stupid to fly Ebola patients all around the world in every country ..it will stay there and fizzle after some time.

This reminds me of a forest fire and the fire line.

Firefighters create a no-burn-zone called a fire line over which a fire cannot jump.



Except...fires jump fire lines.

The infected nurse on that plane potentially exposed not only the passengers (and crew) on her immediate flight, but also passengers who subsequently boarded the plane until it was cleaned.

I'm hoping that she didn't spread it further. But this is how it spreads out of control.

Humans have a strange way of not doing the predictable.
All that is gold does not glitter,
Not all those who wander are lost;
The old that is strong does not wither,
Deep roots are not reached by the frost.

Capn Darwin

Don't these folks play the Plauge game? The fastest way to spread a killer virus is air travel. Ships would be a distance second. If you have an epidemic like this you need to stop all air travel out of the hot zone. Fly in supplies, meds,  doctors, etc., but nobody leaves without a 21 day quarantine. Not rocket science.  :tickedoff:
Rocket Scientist by day, Game Designer by night.

JasonPratt

#97
Quote from: Windigo on October 15, 2014, 04:11:25 PM
Wow, thats how bad rumours get started. That figure is for Africa, NOT!!!!!, the US of A.

Oh, good, whew... though I thought that figure was already up to that point in Africa as a whole.

Also, why does your kitten avatar gif not work anymore? Because that one was adorable. :) Edit: never mind, my computer apparently caught up.
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JasonPratt

Quote from: LongBlade on October 15, 2014, 09:54:13 PM
Quote from: Mr. Bigglesworth on October 15, 2014, 09:50:57 PM
Quote from: mirth on October 15, 2014, 11:20:53 AM
Nurse has been IDed. She just flew from Ohio to Texas on Monday. CDC is asking everyone on the flight to call in

http://news.yahoo.com/ebola-diagnosed-in-second-dallas-nurse-105542930.html

I would think getting on a plane after treating an ebola patient, knowing you got a fever, is potential mass murder. Actually, just being in the airport puts you in contact with enough people that it is a problem.

Strike that first line. I just saw a report from earlier to night that she did have a low-grade fever on the plane.

According to the news reports I have seen she was symptom free on the plane.

After she landed she had several hours where she was symptom free.

Within 90 minutes of showing signs (mild fever) she was hospitalized and quarantined.

The CDC has since issued guidelines advising caregivers potentially exposed to the virus to not fly.

Per Mom (a more reliable reporter of the news than the guys at work yesterday ;) ), the CDC admitted this morning that the nurse called in reporting the low grade fever asking whether she ought to stay or if it was okay to go, and someone at the CDC said, sure go ahead, no problem, board the plane and fly.

:uglystupid2:

YOU HAD ONE JOB, CDC, ONE JOB!
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Dawn of Armageddon -- narrative AAR for Dawn of War: Soulstorm: Ultimate Apocalypse
Survive Harder! -- Two season narrative AAR, an Amazon Blood Bowl career.
PanzOrc Corpz Generals -- Fantasy Wars narrative AAR, half a combined campaign.
Khazâd du-bekâr! -- narrative dwarf AAR for LotR BfME2 RotWK campaign.
RobO Q Campaign Generator -- archived classic CMBB/CMAK tool!

BanzaiCat

Whomever allowed her to fly should be brought up on charges of reckless endangerment.

undercovergeek

Quote from: Capn Darwin on October 16, 2014, 07:19:37 AM
Don't these folks play the Plauge game? The fastest way to spread a killer virus is air travel. Ships would be a distance second. If you have an epidemic like this you need to stop all air travel out of the hot zone. Fly in supplies, meds,  doctors, etc., but nobody leaves without a 21 day quarantine. Not rocket science.  :tickedoff:

+1

there is a jet as we speak sat at madrid airport with 180 french people on board, Spanish authorities wont let them get off due to suspect passenger - my only doubts are, surely in four hours thats going to be 180 suspect passengers

Barthheart

Quote from: undercovergeek on October 16, 2014, 09:23:20 AM
Quote from: Capn Darwin on October 16, 2014, 07:19:37 AM
Don't these folks play the Plauge game? The fastest way to spread a killer virus is air travel. Ships would be a distance second. If you have an epidemic like this you need to stop all air travel out of the hot zone. Fly in supplies, meds,  doctors, etc., but nobody leaves without a 21 day quarantine. Not rocket science.  :tickedoff:

+1

there is a jet as we speak sat at madrid airport with 180 french people on board, Spanish authorities wont let them get off due to suspect passenger - my only doubts are, surely in four hours thats going to be 180 suspect passengers

Only if the suspect goes around kissing or licking or sneezing on everyone in the plane. Lock the suspect in the bathroom. Still not rocket science..... :tickedoff:

Steelgrave


undercovergeek

Quote from: Barthheart on October 16, 2014, 09:46:15 AM
Only if the suspect goes around kissing or licking or sneezing on everyone in the plane. Lock the suspect in the bathroom. Still not rocket science..... :tickedoff:

theres a film in there somewhere, and Star would be the director

LongBlade

Well, this isn't exactly reassuring.

QuoteBut perhaps the most chilling notion came from Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Martin Dempsey, who said on Wednesday that he is concerned the virus could become airborne.

"If you bring two doctors who happen to have that specialty into a room, one will say, 'No, there is no way it will ever become airborne, but it could mutate so it could be harder to discover,'" he told CNN.

"Then it will be an extraordinarily serious problem," he said. "I don't know who is right. I don't want to take that chance, so I am taking it very seriously."

source: http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2014/10/15/whether_there_s_an_ebola_outbreak_in_the_us_depends_on_the_definition_of_outbreak?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_term=*Situation%20Report&utm_campaign=SitRep1016
All that is gold does not glitter,
Not all those who wander are lost;
The old that is strong does not wither,
Deep roots are not reached by the frost.