American Airlines CRJ700 has mid-air collision with an Army Blackhawk at KDCA

Started by Sigwolf, January 29, 2025, 10:45:09 PM

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Redwolf

You'd think the landing approach pattern of an airliner is predictable enough to keep helicopters out :(

Jarhead0331

My hunch is that a lot of the holes in Swiss cheese lined up on this tragedy. Controller error or distraction, pilot deviation, flight conditions, communications issues, etc.

It's crowded airspace. These things do unfortunately happen.
Grogheads Uber Alles
Semper Grog
"No beast is more alpha than JH." Gusington, 10/23/18


Tripoli

Quote from: Jarhead0331 on January 30, 2025, 08:31:22 AMMy hunch is that a lot of the holes in Swiss cheese lined up on this tragedy. Controller error or distraction, pilot deviation, flight conditions, communications issues, etc.

It's crowded airspace. These things do unfortunately happen.
I agree.  My "gut feel" guess is that the cause will likely be mutually reinforcing, cascading human error.  Prayers for the victims and their families.
"Do I not destroy my enemies when I make them my friends?" -Abraham Lincoln

Jarhead0331

Grogheads Uber Alles
Semper Grog
"No beast is more alpha than JH." Gusington, 10/23/18


Jarhead0331

Grogheads Uber Alles
Semper Grog
"No beast is more alpha than JH." Gusington, 10/23/18


Redwolf

I though it is generally assumed hopeless to spot a jet for collision avoidance purposes.

That, and in the dark it is too easy to spot a different plane than ATC was talking about and never be the wiser.

Sigwolf

Definitely a lot of factors involved. Unfortunately, military helicopter operations along the river in the approach path of runway 33 at DCA are *extremely* common.  The ridiculously complex and congested nature of that airspace results in a lot of procedures that aren't necessarily seen elsewhere (IAD, DCA, ADW, BWI, and a lot of smaller airports in very close proximity).

In this case arrivals to DCA were coming in on approach to runway 1, and the tower was selectively peeling aircraft off that approach to land runway 33 (another common, and charted procedure) for timing concerns and to allow departures between arrivals.

PAT25 (the UH-60) was proceeding south along the river while JIA5342 (the CRJ) was on approach for rwy1. At towers request, JIA5342 accepted the circle to rwy33 and was cleared to land.  At this point, the two aircraft are basically head on until JIA5342 makes the small left turn to align with final on rwy33.  The controller calls traffic, and PAT25 reports the aircraft in sight and requests visual separation, which was granted and he is told to pass behind.

The strangest thing watching the radar returns is that when JIA5342 makes the left turn to final that would have separated the two, the southbound PAT25 actually turns slightly right *into* the path of the CRJ rather than turning behind him.  Initial speculation is that PAT25 was actually seeing a different aircraft rather than the intended CRJ.  There was an American A319 a few miles behind and a few hundred feet higher that was still on approach for rwy1.  It is also unclear whether the crew of PAT25 was using NVG's (it appears to have been a training flight, rather than VIP transport).

Toonces

I watched it a couple of times.  I'm inclined to think the helo pilot was looking at AA3130 in sight.  He may have gotten the CRJ's lights mixed up with the background lights.  I think the pilot at the controls is usually the left seat; if so he'd be inclined to be looking more left than straight or to the right. 

I can't figure out why he did the right turn unless it was to stay along the river's path.

Lastly, that DCA Tower controller is an absolute stud.
"If you had a chance, right now, to go back in time and stop Hitler, wouldn't you do it?  I mean, I personally wouldn't stop him because I think he's awesome." - Eric Cartman

"Does a watch list mean you are being watched or is it a come on to Toonces?" - Biggs

Redwolf


Toonces

Ahhh.  Well that's that for my theory.  I suppose, then, that the left side co-pilot might have been calling the traffic, in which case the pilot wouldn't have seen the CRJ regardless.

I can't really think of another plausible explanation.  I know relative speeds and such can be challenging, especially at night, but I still think it most likely the crew was avoiding the AA3130 plane.
"If you had a chance, right now, to go back in time and stop Hitler, wouldn't you do it?  I mean, I personally wouldn't stop him because I think he's awesome." - Eric Cartman

"Does a watch list mean you are being watched or is it a come on to Toonces?" - Biggs

Jarhead0331

Quote from: Toonces on January 31, 2025, 12:09:58 PMI can't really think of another plausible explanation.  I know relative speeds and such can be challenging, especially at night, but I still think it most likely the crew was avoiding the AA3130 plane.

Most analysis I have seen is corroborating this theory. That when the controller asked PAT25 if he had the traffic in sight and the helo answered in the affirmative, he was most likely not looking at the CRJ. Some have criticized the controller for not being more specific in his inquiry given that the two aircraft where clearly heading toward each other on radar.
Grogheads Uber Alles
Semper Grog
"No beast is more alpha than JH." Gusington, 10/23/18


Redwolf

Visual avoidance has been considered useless in the fact of jets for decades.

I also don't think you can tell an Airbus from a CRJ at night. NVGs or not.

Jarhead0331

Quote from: Redwolf on January 31, 2025, 01:00:25 PMVisual avoidance has been considered useless in the fact of jets for decades.


I'm not sure what you mean by this. Visual scanning is a key element of collision avoidance, even for jets. As far as I know, see and avoid is one of the primary methods of VFR traffic separation and it is codified in the CFR.
Grogheads Uber Alles
Semper Grog
"No beast is more alpha than JH." Gusington, 10/23/18


Redwolf

Quote from: Jarhead0331 on January 31, 2025, 01:05:50 PM
Quote from: Redwolf on January 31, 2025, 01:00:25 PMVisual avoidance has been considered useless in the fact of jets for decades.


I'm not sure what you mean by this. Visual scanning is a key element of collision avoidance, even for jets. As far as I know, see and avoid is one of the primary methods of VFR traffic separation and it is codified in the CFR.

Not if they are approaching each other head-on. You can use it when flying in approximately the same direction.